Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.4%
Dortmund
10.4%
Draw
4.2%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
Dortmund
vs
0.63
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
4-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).