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AHT: 12CSV

04 Apr 2021 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Erzurum BB
36.5%
Draw
30.2%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Erzurum BB

vs
1.03

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).