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27 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Osijek
31.7%
Draw
44.3%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Osijek

vs
1.29

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).