Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Celta
14.1%
Draw
7.3%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Celta
vs
0.69
Granada
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).