Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Auxerre
24.5%
Draw
52.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Auxerre
vs
1.59
Marseille
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).