Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Espanol
23.8%
Draw
28.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Espanol
vs
1.32
Elche
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).