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02 Mar 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.5%
Livingston
26.8%
Draw
36.8%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Livingston

vs
1.41

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).