Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Marseille
19.8%
Draw
51.4%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Marseille
vs
2.14
Aris
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-3
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).