Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
West Brom
20.9%
Draw
68.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
West Brom
vs
2.02
Leeds
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.0%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
9.8%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).