Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Werder Bremen
15.1%
Draw
7.2%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Werder Bremen
vs
0.74
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).