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01 Sept 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.3%
Mirandes
27.6%
Draw
26.1%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Mirandes

vs
0.93

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).