Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Dunkerque
20.1%
Draw
12.1%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Dunkerque
vs
0.58
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
15.0%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).