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AHT: 10CSV

11 Feb 2026 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Empoli
29.7%
Draw
29.7%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Empoli

vs
1.11

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).