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AHT: 01CSV

19 Dec 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.2%
Wigan
29.2%
Draw
51.6%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Wigan

vs
1.40

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).