Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Rotherham
29.6%
Draw
41.7%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Rotherham
vs
1.31
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).