Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Monza
23.7%
Draw
56.1%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Monza
vs
1.68
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).