Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Paderborn
26.6%
Draw
22.0%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Paderborn
vs
1.02
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).