Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Watford
30.6%
Draw
47.5%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Watford
vs
1.42
West Brom
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).