Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Luton
29.3%
Draw
25.7%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Luton
vs
0.99
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).