Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Barrow
25.9%
Draw
28.9%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Barrow
vs
1.05
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).