Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Rio Ave
19.4%
Draw
55.1%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Rio Ave
vs
2.25
Estoril
Markets
BTTS68.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
2-3
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).