⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
48.5%
Tranmere
23.6%
Draw
27.9%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Tranmere

vs
1.17

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).