Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Grantham Town
21.5%
Draw
34.5%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Grantham Town
vs
1.64
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).