Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
15.8%
Draw
8.4%
Zorya Luhansk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.71
Zorya Luhansk
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).