Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Monza
18.2%
Draw
73.0%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Monza
vs
2.04
Roma
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.8%
0-1
15.7%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).