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HHT: 20

07 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Queens Park Rangers
26.4%
Draw
43.1%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.57

Norwich

Markets

BTTS58.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).