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HHT: 20

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Basford United
22.1%
Draw
23.6%
Sporting Khalsa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Basford United

vs
1.13

Sporting Khalsa

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).