Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
10.9%
Draw
3.5%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.47
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
3-0
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
4-0
10.0%
2-1
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).