Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Auxerre
28.3%
Draw
48.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Auxerre
vs
1.28
Lyon
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).