Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
West Brom
30.0%
Draw
28.0%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
West Brom
vs
1.00
Luton
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).