Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Cadiz
29.1%
Draw
38.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cadiz
vs
1.19
Almeria
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).