Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Colchester
25.7%
Draw
34.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Colchester
vs
1.22
Swindon
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).