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13 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Harrogate
26.9%
Draw
57.8%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Harrogate

vs
1.39

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS31.6%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.3%
0-0
13.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.2%
0-4
2.2%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).