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HHT: 10CSV

28 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Sampdoria
25.6%
Draw
46.5%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Sampdoria

vs
1.48

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).