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AHT: 02CSV

20 Apr 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.5%
Chesterfield
22.2%
Draw
20.3%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Chesterfield

vs
1.20

Halifax

Markets

BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).