Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Eibar
28.3%
Draw
25.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Eibar
vs
0.88
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).