Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Cheltenham
25.1%
Draw
50.0%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Cheltenham
vs
1.49
Colchester
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).