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16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Albacete
28.4%
Draw
28.6%
Extremadura UD

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Albacete

vs
0.96

Extremadura UD

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).