Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
FC Koln
11.1%
Draw
5.9%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26
FC Koln
vs
0.85
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
4.3%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).