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07 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.9%
Fulham
14.6%
Draw
7.5%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.90

Fulham

vs
0.87

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
5-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).