Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Frosinone
25.3%
Draw
41.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Frosinone
vs
1.44
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).