Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Werder Bremen
24.3%
Draw
51.2%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Werder Bremen
vs
1.83
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).