Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Sutton
26.4%
Draw
47.3%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Sutton
vs
1.64
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).