Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Cagliari
23.3%
Draw
18.2%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Cagliari
vs
0.84
Monza
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).