Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Valladolid
27.0%
Draw
47.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Valladolid
vs
1.48
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).