Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Ternana
27.8%
Draw
19.7%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Ternana
vs
0.87
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).