Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Forest Green
22.3%
Draw
15.9%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Forest Green
vs
0.74
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).