Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.3%
Espanol
19.7%
Draw
65.1%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Espanol
vs
2.20
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).