⚽ FootballData
4 – 1
HHT: 30CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
64.5%
Hamburg
21.3%
Draw
14.3%
Preußen Münster

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Hamburg

vs
0.93

Preußen Münster

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).