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AHT: 11CSV

25 Aug 2025 · 20:30

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.1%
Sevilla
30.9%
Draw
31.0%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Sevilla

vs
0.95

Getafe

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).